What If India Conducts Nuclear Tests?

What if India conducts nuclear tests? This"disruptions in supply to India that may result
question has remained a grey area even thoughthrough no fault of its own," such as a trade war
the Indo-US nuclear deal has been cleared by theor market disruptions. "The fuel supply assurances
US Senate. US Secretary of State Condoleezzaare not, however, meant to insulate India against
Rice is coming to New Delhi for a two-day visit onthe consequences of a nuclear explosive test or a
Saturday. Earlier it was reported that she wouldviolation of nonproliferation commitments."
sign the 123 Agreement during her visit, butThe Indian government has chosen to treat the
certain media reports now suggest that the 123matter lightly as of now, insisting that none of
Agreement may not be ready for signing justclauses in the 123 treaty are binding on India's
yet, and will be signed in Washington next week.nuclear programme. Congress spokesperson
What is it that is now causing the delay? OneManish Tiwari said, "This is said by Bush to the US
thing is certain, that though the Nuclear Deal hasCongress, and not our problem at all." But where
been cleared by a thumping majority in the USdoes that ultimately leave the question of nuclear
Senate, some clauses remain unclear to the publictesting? What if India feels it necessary to test
as well politicians of our country.nuclear weapons in response to say, tests by
Apart from the controversial letter that wasneighbouring countries China or Pakistan? The day
released by the Republican Howard L. Berman,the deal came through, amongst other comments
Chairman of the House Foreign Affairsthe TOI reported that India would not be able to
Committee just a day before the NSG meet forconduct nuclear tests without inviting punishing
the waiver, raises more questions than it answers.sanctions.
The contents of the letter link the possibility ofPart of the NSG waiver was based on the pledge
India conducting nuclear tests with the issuethat India would not share sensitive nuclear
nuclear fuel supply by the US. Manmohan Singhtechnology or material with others and maintain its
and his government in the past have taken painsvoluntary suspension on testing nuclear weapons.
to assure the country that India's testing ofThis outlines India's stance regarding the country's
nuclear weapons will not affect uninterrupted fueldisarmament and nonproliferation policies. As of
supply to India - whereas the letter seems tonow this is satisfactory, but this admits no
suggest otherwise. The letter says that theprovisions for unique situations in the future in
United States would help India deal only withcase India needs to test nuclear weapons.