Will China

ext">According to China’s Ministry of LandChinese plan to build up a strategic reserve of
Resources, China plans to build up “sufficienturanium for their aggressive nuclear program.
reserves” of uranium and other minerals, in aIn another interview, also published in April, Gene
new five-year government plan. The ministry saidClark, CEO of TradeTech LLC warned us, “In
it would be stockpiling strategic reserves ofreality, the U.S. utilities, which tend to wait longer
uranium, copper, aluminum and other key mineralsto contract, may be the ones on the losing end
because of rising demand for those commodities.because the Chinese and the Indians will contract
The Chinese also wish to avoid supply disruptionsearly. The implication of current group-think is that
by hoarding uranium and other minerals, over thethe Chinese and Indians are not going to be able
next few years.to find enough uranium for their new plants. But,
Until now, you’ve probably taken forthey are committing for supplies way out into the
granted a steady, reliable source of electricity. Afuture. When the U.S. utilities come to the market,
large part of your dependable energy came aboutthey’re going to look around say, ‘Oh
because of the nuclear energy generated by theblankety- blank, what happened? Where’s
103 nuclear reactors in 30 states. Without athe uranium?’ They’ll be the ones
steady supply of uranium to power those nuclearthat sat around. I think that is what’s going
reactors, the U.S. electrical transmission networkto happen unless things really change in the way
suffers a 20 percent loss. China’s newcontracting is done in the United States.”
five-year plan to stockpile uranium had better beU.S. utilities have been cautioned, warned and
a Wake-Up Call to U.S. utilities. If they missed theadvised that the Chinese demand for uranium
import of China’s announcement, we are allcould very well create a serious energy crisis for
going to be in a heck of lot of trouble before thisthe U.S. grid. Nuclear reactors help supply the
decade ends.baseload generation for the U.S. electrical grid.
Since June 2004, we have warned of supplyNuclear power plants provide stability to the
disruptions for uranium. David Miller, who has sinceelectricity transmission network. About one-fifth
become President and Chief Operating Officer ofof electrical generation is derived from nuclear
Strathmore Minerals, argued at the time, “Inpower. Nuclear plants are running at more than 89
my opinion, no one has any extra uranium to sellpercent capacity. U.S. utilities are fiddling around
on the spot market. There’s just notlike Nero, who watched Rome burn, hoping that
excess inventory that people are unloading in thepromises of increased uranium production will
spot market.” We interviewed Miller again instem the dramatic uranium price rise.
November 2005, for an article entitled, “ChinaSevere strains in natural gas supplies, combined
Demand for Uranium, World Growth in Electricitywith the ongoing uranium supply squeeze, could
Demand to Drive Uranium Price Higher.” Millervery well put U.S. consumers on rations for their
warned us, “China is the future wild card…electricity. Can’t happen, you say? Ask the
what they are planning for nuclear is probably theBrits about how business was conducted in their
most aggressive program in the world.” Millercountry, in late 1973 and early 1974, during the
added in his explanation, “All the new productionArab oil embargo crisis. Or more recently,
is already factored into the future market forCalifornia’s rolling brownouts.
uranium. We’re underwater right nowAn electrical energy crisis is in the making, while
without building one more nuclear power plant.”U.S. utilities are patiently hoping or praying the
In mid April, during an interview with Sprott Assetprice of uranium stop climbing. UxC President Jeff
Management Market Strategist Kevin Bambrough,Combs wasn’t kidding when he urged U.S.
we asked him about the Chinese. He answered,utilities, during our interview, to “support the
“Why shouldn’t they have strategicexpansion of (uranium) production in the United
uranium reserves to supply their nuclear reactors?States.” And if you don’t let your local
It makes sense to have a good stockpile ofutility know about the upcoming electrical energy
uranium considering the relative cost of nuclearcrisis, then perhaps it will be your lights they may
power versus anything else.” And now, thesomeday be turning out.