Iran's Nuclear Ambitions

On April 1st, 1979, the Islamic Republic of Irangas for export, but Iran's uranium reserves are
was born under the leadership of Ayatollahminuscule, accounting for less than one percent of
Khomeini. The Ayatollah returned to Iran at theits vast oil reserves. Iran controls 11 percent of
end of the Islamic Revolution, after having spentthe world's oil reserves and its natural gas
14 years in exile. This past month Iranreserves are the second largest in the world. Iran
commemorated these events by showcasing itsdoes not have enough indigenous uranium
military strength. It conducted a series of missileresources to fuel even one power-generating
tests and large-scale military maneuvers involvingreactor over its lifetime, but it does have enough
tens of thousands of troops and over 1500 navaluranium to make several nuclear bombs.
vessels.According to a report by the U.S. State
Iran launched its arms development programDepartment on Iran's nuclear program: ''...The
during the 1980-88 war with Iraq to compensatecostly infrastructure needed to perform all of
for a U.S. weapons embargo. Since 1992, Iran hasthese activities goes well beyond any conceivable
produced its own tanks, armored personnelpeaceful nuclear program. No comparable oil-rich
carriers, missiles and a fighter plane. Recently,nation has ever engaged, or would be engaged, in
they have test-fired a new radar-dodging andthis set of activities - or would pursue them for
multi-targeting missile, an underwater high-speednearly two decades behind a continuing cloud of
missile and a new medium-range land-to-seasecrecy and lies to IAEA inspectors and the
missile.international community - unless it was dead set
Iran has also successfully tested what it calls aon building nuclear weapons.''
''supermodern flying boat.'' Iran claims that theEnrichment Breakthrough
flying boat was entirely ''made in Iran'' and that itOn April 11th, Iran declared that it had ''joined the
can move at high speeds and avoid radarnuclear club.'' Iranian officials announced that they
detection. The United States said it was possiblehad, for the first time, successfully enriched
Iran had developed weapons that could evadeuranium to make nuclear fuel. The announcement
sonar and radar but warned the Islamic Republicmarks a major breakthrough in Iran's nuclear
had a tendency to ''boast and exaggerate.''program. Iran stated publicly that it had achieved
Nuclear Irana 3.5 percent level of uranium enrichment.
These recent missile tests and war gamesAgain, Iran has said that its goal is not to make
coincide with increasing tensions between Iran andnuclear weapons, but to develop nuclear energy.
the West over Tehran's controversial nuclearThis leads us to another important question: If
program. The United States and its allies believeIran does develop a peaceful nuclear energy
Iran is seeking to develop nuclear weapons, butprogram, how difficult would it be to use that
Tehran denies this, saying its program is forsame technology to make nuclear weapons?
peaceful purposes. The UN Security Council hasNuclear power plants need 3 to 4 percent
demanded that Iran halt its uranium enrichmentenriched uranium for fuel, but natural uranium only
activities, but so far Tehran has refused.contains 0.7 percent. Thus uranium must be
The Shkvalprocessed in a uranium enrichment facility before
Military experts have taken particular interest init can be used as fuel for nuclear power.
Iran's test of a high-speed underwater missile. IranWhat most people don't realize is the exact same
claims the missile is capable of carrying multipletechnology and equipment used to enrich uranium
warheads at speeds of up to 225 mph. Speakingfor fuel can be used to enrich uranium for nuclear
on state television, a high-ranking Iranian militaryweapons; it simply requires more passes through
commander said the missile has been inthe enrichment plant. A nuclear bomb requires
development for six years, and ''even if anabout 90 percent enriched uranium, which is high
enemy warship's sonar can detect the missile, nocompared to the percentage found in fuel, but
warship can escape from this missile because ofaccording to experts it requires more energy to
its high speed.''convert natural uranium to fuel than it takes to
He called it the fastest underwater missile in theconvert fuel into weapons-grade uranium.
world - but it has the same speed as theThe Fallout
Russian-made Shkval (''Squall''), developed in 1995Iran is governed by Shiite Muslim clerics
and believed to be the world's fastest, three orcommitted to a stern interpretation of Islamic law.
four times faster than a torpedo. Many expertsHatred of the United States has been a key
believe that Iran's underwater missile - called thecomponent of Iranian foreign policy since the 1978
''Hoot'' or ''Whale'' - is in fact Russian made, or atIslamic revolution, and Iran's leaders often refer to
the very least its design is based on the Shkval.the United States as the ''Great Satan.''
The Russian Shkval is an exceptionally high-speedIran's distaste for the United States is surpassed
underwater torpedo. It is reported to attainonly by their utter loathing of Israel. Iran's political
almost 200 knots, giving its target littleand religious leaders have repeatedly called for
opportunity for evasive maneuvers. ApparentlyIsrael to be ''wiped off the map.'' They have also
fired from standard 533mm torpedo tubes, thedenounced any attempts to recognize Israel or
Shkval has a range of about 7,500 yards. Thenormalize relations with it.
weapon clears the tube at 50 knots, after whichA nuclear-armed Iran would be a serious threat to
its rocket fires. By creating a local ''envelope'' ofour security. However, with troops already
supercavitating bubbles, the weapon can achievedeployed in Iraq and Afghanistan, President Bush
its spectacular speed.appears - at least for the time being - to be
Examining Iran's Motivescommitted to finding a diplomatic solution to the
Iran has announced plans to start building a newstandoff. Some experts have speculated that
nuclear plant in an undisclosed location.Israel may be planning a preemptive strike,
Construction on the plant will begin this year, andalthough military action would most likely be used
it will contain 3,000 enrichment centrifuges - smallas a last resort.
for the production of nuclear fuel but ample toIn 1981, Israel bombed Iraq's Osirak nuclear
make fissile material for nuclear weapons.reactor when it believed Saddam Hussein was
Iran claims that under Article 4 of theclose to producing a nuclear bomb. If Israel does
Non-Proliferation Treaty they have the right toattack Iran it would undoubtedly bring about a
develop nuclear technology. Iran insists that it isfirestorm in the Middle East. Unfortunately we are
pursuing nuclear technology for peaceful energyrunning out of time, and neither Israel nor the
purposes, but that leads to the obvious question:United States is willing to accept the possibility of
why would a nation with immense oil and gasa nuclear-armed Iran. What happens if diplomacy
reserves need nuclear energy? Iran claims it iscontinues to fail? Will military action become our
building costly nuclear fuel-cycle facilities to meetonly option?
future electricity needs, while preserving oil and