Danger on the Horizon for Housing Markets

Have you ever heard the saying; out like a lamb,changes in lending standards which will cause short
in like a lion? The Springfield Illinois housing market,term pain by decreasing the number of qualified
one of the most affordable and stable in thebuyers, however will lead to long term stability.
nation, reported to be the best in the Midwest inHousing markets suffer from buyers that are
2007, is rebounding following a dismal first quarter.losing disposable income to record high fuel prices,
However there is trouble on the horizon, and notwhich in turn are driving up the price of food. The
just for the Springfield housing market, all housingaverage family won't be shopping for a new
markets.home with their incomes under attack by these
Following lamb like activity with home sales downprice increases. Add in loss of more revenue
29% in March, and down 19.4% for the firstthrough tax increases, loss of jobs if markets for
quarter, April is coming on like a lion. The firstour goods are cut off, and the housing slump of
three business weeks have posted the first backtoday will seem like a walk in the park.
to back weeks of over one hundred home listingsIt also was reported this week that Americans
being reported sold pending by The Capital Areahave borrowed 1.2 trillion dollars against their
Association of Realtors MLS.home equity. Should the Democrats win the
This historically resilient housing market which haspresidency and harm the economy with their
bucked national trends, just may be on the roadproposed economic actions, millions of home
to recovery. However there are threats to theowners will see the value of their homes fall well
economy that may derail this market and others.below the amount borrowed.
Government actions.This too will negatively impact the housing market.
A meeting of top executives representing the topMillions of families won't be able to sell because
20% financial institutions, are reported by the APthey will owe too much. No taking job transfers,
to declare the most immediate threat to theor a move up or down. They'll be stuck. Unless
economy is the credit crisis and the weak housingthey walk away, when they no longer desire to
market. Fair enough. The executives thenpay for something that's not worth it anymore,
declared the next biggest threats to theas we witnessed thousands doing in 2007.
economy are the possibility of tax increases, andIn spite of the calamitous tax and trade policies
legislation that would interfere with free trade.being proposed, the greatest threat is barely
Both Democrat presidential candidates have saidbeing mentioned; inflation. The American people
they would allow the Bush tax cuts to expireare only fooling themselves if they don't believe
which would raise taxes on all Americans by 1.2the energy crisis isn't fueling inflation. It's apparent
trillion dollars. Included in the Bush tax cuts wasevery time you shop at the grocery store.
the capital gains tax reduction to 15%. This taxThe Federal Reserve is playing a game of chicken
cut is credited for the boom in commercial realwith inflation by keeping interest rates low, hoping
estate development, and business investment.to stimulate the economy. This can not, and will
The raising of the capital gains tax would deal anot last.
devastating blow to the economy.The nail in the housing market coffin will be higher
Both candidates pandering to the left wing baseinterest rates following the attack upon American
of the party to secure nomination are proposing 1families disposable income by gas/energy/food
trillion dollars in new spending for expandedprices, tax increases, and job loss due to
government programs such as universal healthgovernmental interference in free trade.
care, college for all, and other entitlementThe solutions are available to avoid this
programs. Both say they will tax the rich to paycatastrophe. Don't elect anyone against free
for the programs. Pure socialism through wealthtrade, or who says they will raise taxes. Get
redistribution, and punishment for hard work andserious about the energy crisis. Start by opening
success.government land (and sea) for drilling oil, relax
Both candidates now argue over who can renegeregulations on refinery construction, nuclear power
on free trade agreements faster than they canplant construction, and eliminate ethanol subsidies
retreat from Iraq. The truth is exports accountedalong with farm subsidies.
for 40% of all economic activity in 2007. TheseWe have created a food crisis at home and
top executives fear trade restrictions will destroyabroad due to foolish governmental actions, we
the markets for U.S. goods which will causemust undo those with responsible governmental
massive unemployment and industry failures.actions.
The danger to all housing markets is weakThe nation is at a crossroads with the upcoming
demand, causing fewer sales, lower prices, andelection. The economy, your job, your standard
more foreclosures due to both the loss of jobs,of living, your liberty, your way of life will be
and reduction of income through higher taxation.determined by the outcome. Choose wisely.
Housing markets are already suffering from