Will China's New Five-Year Plan Force U.S. Utilities to Ration Your Electricity?

Taking your electrical needs for granted? A newversus anything else." And now, the Chinese plan
five-year plan announced by the Chineseto build up a strategic reserve of uranium for
government may put the reliability of yourtheir aggressive nuclear program.
electrical supply at risk. China may snap up all theIn another interview, also published in April, Gene
available uranium over the next few years. U.S.Clark, CEO of TradeTech LLC warned us, "In
utilities depend upon uranium to power theirreality, the U.S. utilities, which tend to wait longer
nuclear reactors, which provide 20% of yourto contract, may be the ones on the losing end
electricity.because the Chinese and the Indians will contract
According to China's Ministry of Land Resources,early. The implication of current group-think is that
China plans to build up "sufficient reserves" ofthe Chinese and Indians are not going to be able
uranium and other minerals, in a new five-yearto find enough uranium for their new plants. But,
government plan. The ministry said it would bethey are committing for supplies way out into the
stockpiling strategic reserves of uranium, copper,future. When the U.S. utilities come to the market,
aluminum and other key minerals because of risingthey're going to look around say, 'Oh blankety-
demand for those commodities. The Chinese alsoblank, what happened? Where's the uranium?'
wish to avoid supply disruptions by hoardingThey'll be the ones that sat around. I think that is
uranium and other minerals, over the next fewwhat's going to happen unless things really change
years.in the way contracting is done in the United
Until now, you've probably taken for granted aStates."
steady, reliable source of electricity. A large partU.S. utilities have been cautioned, warned and
of your dependable energy came about becauseadvised that the Chinese demand for uranium
of the nuclear energy generated by the 103could very well create a serious energy crisis for
nuclear reactors in 30 states. Without a steadythe U.S. grid. Nuclear reactors help supply the
supply of uranium to power those nuclearbaseload generation for the U.S. electrical grid.
reactors, the U.S. electrical transmission networkNuclear power plants provide stability to the
suffers a 20 percent loss. China's new five-yearelectricity transmission network. About one-fifth
plan to stockpile uranium had better be aof electrical generation is derived from nuclear
Wake-Up Call to U.S. utilities. If they missed thepower. Nuclear plants are running at more than 89
import of China's announcement, we are all goingpercent capacity. U.S. utilities are fiddling around
to be in a heck of lot of trouble before thislike Nero, who watched Rome burn, hoping that
decade ends.promises of increased uranium production will
Since June 2004, we have warned of supplystem the dramatic uranium price rise.
disruptions for uranium. David Miller, who has sinceSevere strains in natural gas supplies, combined
become President and Chief Operating Officer ofwith the ongoing uranium supply squeeze, could
Strathmore Minerals, argued at the time, "In myvery well put U.S. consumers on rations for their
opinion, no one has any extra uranium to sell onelectricity. Can't happen, you say? Ask the Brits
the spot market. There's just not excessabout how business was conducted in their
inventory that people are unloading in the spotcountry, in late 1973 and early 1974, during the
market." We interviewed Miller again in NovemberArab oil embargo crisis. Or more recently,
2005, for an article entitled, "China Demand forCalifornia's rolling brownouts.
Uranium, World Growth in Electricity Demand toAn electrical energy crisis is in the making, while
Drive Uranium Price Higher." Miller warned us,U.S. utilities are patiently hoping or praying the
"China is the future wild card… what theyprice of uranium stop climbing. UxC President Jeff
are planning for nuclear is probably the mostCombs wasn't kidding when he urged U.S. utilities,
aggressive program in the world." Miller added induring our interview, to "support the expansion of
his explanation, "All the new production is already(uranium) production in the United States." And if
factored into the future market for uranium.you don't let your local utility know about the
We're underwater right now without building oneupcoming electrical energy crisis, then perhaps it
more nuclear power plant."will be your lights they may someday be turning
In mid April, during an interview with Sprott Assetout. The irony of ironies: All of those sweet
Management Market Strategist Kevin Bambrough,anti-nuclear folks in Vermont, who depend upon
we asked him about the Chinese. He answered,nuclear energy for more than 70 percent of their
"Why shouldn't they have strategic uraniumelectricity? They'll be the first to suffer the most,
reserves to supply their nuclear reactors? Itif U.S. utilities don't respond to China's five-year
makes sense to have a good stockpile of uraniumplan.
considering the relative cost of nuclear power