Security Report: US Must Change Course on North Korea

Meeting with Asia-Pacific leaders in Chile thisThe ICG says Washington must also de-link
weekend, President Bush renewed calls for ademands for nuclear disarmament with other
diplomatic solution to the nuclear stalemate withconcerns including missile technology control and
North Korea. But an influential security group saysimproved human rights.
the president will have to radically reorient hisPeter Beck says the United States has to give up
approach if he hopes to make any headway withits broader agenda and focus on the imminent
Pyongyang.nuclear threat.
The Geneva-based International Crisis Group"Yes, everything is interconnected but the nuclear
issued a new eight-point plan this month forissue by itself is so complicated that it's unrealistic
resolving the tense nuclear standoff with Northto load the agenda with human rights and other
Korea.concerns," added Mr. Beck.
The politically left-leaning organization says theThere have been three rounds of largely fruitless
United States and its allies must establish a newtalks since 2003. North Korea has so far refused
set of threats and rewards if they want Northto attend a fourth round of talks hosted by
Korea to rejoin stalled six-nation disarmamentBeijing.
talks.And the ICG says further delays only increase
The ICG is calling on the United States to providethe odds that Pyongyang is adding weapons to its
Pyongyang with a detailed energy assistance andnuclear stockpile.
security package available as soon as North KoreaNorth Korea expelled U.N. atomic energy
disarms. North Korea has previously rejected U.S.inspectors nearly two years ago, withdrew from
offers that included vague promises of aid afterthe nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and has
disarmament but lacked specifics.restarted its nuclear facilities it had promised to
The ICG plan also calls for Russia, China, Southdismantle.
Korea and Japan to support tough new U.S.-ledPyongyang has defended its actions, saying
economic sanctions if Pyongyang refuses to givenuclear weapons are its only protection against a
up its nuclear ambitions.possible U.S.-led invasion. Washington has
Peter Beck, one of the principal authors of therepeatedly denied any plans for a military assault
new proposal, says the plan requires each of theon North Korea.
five countries to give something up in order toPyongyang has also demanded massive economic
confront North Korea with a single voice.assistance to help rebuild its weakened economy
"That requires concessions by all parties but thebefore it will consider giving up its nuclear
bottom line is, if there isn't better coordinationweapons.
between the five parties working neither theLongtime supporters of President Bush's hard-line
sticks nor the carrots can work effectively," hesay the United States should resist changing
said.course or making any concessions.
The five countries have each pursued slightlyKim Tae-Woo, a policy expert at South Korea's
different approaches towards disarming NorthInstitute for Defense Analysis, thinks it would be
Korea.a mistake.
China, one of North Korea's few communist allies,"If we solve the nuclear problems by confining the
has avoided openly challenging Pyongyangagenda only to nuclear issues, than what next?
preferring to mediate between the parties. SouthWill we just tolerate the North Korean human
Korea has fostered a more sympatheticrights problem, missiles and chemical weapons and
relationship with the North, offering massive aidbiological weapons? That's not the answer," he
packages while avoiding confrontational demands.said.
But Japan and especially the United States haveBut the International Crisis Group says those
consistently pushed for a harder line withissues cannot be addressed until the immediate
Pyongyang.specter of nuclear confrontation has been
Washington has, so far, refused to offer anyremoved.
explicit trades in return for North KoreanThe group estimates that North Korea may have
disarmament. President Bush insists he will notdeveloped as many as 10 nuclear bombs in the 25
reward Pyongyang for breaking its internationalmonths since it was accused of having a secret
agreements to not have nuclear weapons.development program.